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⚡ Strong Signals — Round Preview

5 signals identified this round — showing top 3. Positions where attacking team ranks top-5 AND opponent ranks 12+ for conceding.

MatchPositionTeam (Att)Att RankDef Rank
Penrith Panthers vs Newcastle KnightsFullback 🔥 StrongPenrith Panthers#2#16
Penrith Panthers vs Newcastle KnightsInterchangePenrith Panthers#5#18
Dolphins vs Sydney RoostersFullbackDolphins#2#14
Penrith Panthers vs Newcastle KnightsFront RowPenrith Panthers#5#15
Dolphins vs Sydney RoostersLeft CentreDolphins#4#13

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How to read this — tap to expand

Try Rate (For)

Average tries scored at this position per game. Higher = more dangerous attacking channel.

Rank

Green = Top 5 · White = Mid · Red = Bottom 5. Compared to all 16 NRL teams.

Opp Rate (Against)

Tries the opponent concedes at this position per game. Higher = leakier defence.

Strong Signal

Highlighted in gold when the attacking team ranks top-5 AND the opponent ranks 12th or worse for conceding — a structural mismatch.

Positions

#1 Fullback · #2/#5 Wingers · #3/#4 Centres · #6/#7 Halves · #9 Hooker · #8/#10 Front Row · #11/#12 2nd Row.

Heatmaps

Dots show where tries were scored this season. Left = left channel, Right = right channel, Middle = centre field.

📊 Featured Game: Penrith Panthers vs Newcastle Knights
Penrith Panthers's Fullback is a top-2 attacking position this season, averaging 0.57 tries/game (ranked #2 league-wide). They face Newcastle Knights, who rank #16 — the weakest in the league for conceding here (0.76 t/g). That is the structural mismatch the model is flagging; what you do with it is your call.
Rank 1–5 (strong)Rank 6–11 (mid)Rank 12–16 (weak)Gold bold = strong signal
Try Location Heat Map · 2026 season
Penrith Panthers · Attack10m20m90 triesPenrith Panthers · Defense10m20m57 triesNewcastle Knights · Attack10m20m98 triesNewcastle Knights · Defense10m20m88 tries
L 39% · M 39% · R 22%
L 28% · M 45% · R 28%
L 41% · M 32% · R 27%
L 24% · M 50% · R 26%
FullbackWingerCentreHalvesHookerForwardInterchange
Position Penrith Panthers Newcastle Knights
Players Rate
(For)
Rank Opp
Rate
Opp
Rank
Players Rate
(For)
Rank Opp
Rate
Opp
Rank
FullbackEDWARDS, EDGAR0.5720.5916PONGA, HUNT, SHARPE0.41120.242
Right WingerTO'O, ALAMOTI0.6780.557YOUNG0.9130.291
Right CentreALAMOTI0.05180.328GAGAI, HUNT0.32140.296
Right Edge Combined0.71130.8681.2340.572
Left CentreMCLEAN, GARNER0.3880.327HUNT, BEST, SHARPE0.5050.244
Left WingerJENKINS1.2420.454MARZHEW1.0030.382
Left Edge Combined1.6220.7741.5040.621
Wingers Total1.9041.0031.9130.671
Centres Total0.43180.64100.8260.524
HalvesCLEARY, TALAGI0.48110.5913SHARPE, BROWN, SMITH0.41160.527
HookerLUSSICK0.10110.147CROSSLAND0.14100.053
Front RowHENRY, SMITH, LEOTA, YEO0.2950.3215MOONEY, CROKER0.2780.249
Right 2nd RowMARTIN, PHILLIPS0.2980.238MANULELEUA0.05180.193
Left 2nd RowPAPALI'I0.14110.2312LUCAS0.4120.142
2nd Row0.43110.4580.45100.333
InterchangeGARNER, HENRY, TAGO, PHILLIPS0.3350.4518FRIZELL, GRAHAM, HUNT0.2770.195

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Round 30  ·  2 games  ·  5 signals identified

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